Friday, April 9, 2010

FACTBOX-Five facts about Pulverised Coal Injection (PCI) 09 Apr 2010 09:50

April 9 (Reuters) - Australian miner New Hope Corp <NHC.AX> launched a $3.45 billion offer for Macarthur Coal <MCC.AX>, topping an earlier offer from U.S. coal miner Peabody Energy <BTU.N>. Singapore-listed Noble Group <NOBG.SI> is waiting in the wings with a deal to take a one-quarter stake in Macarthur. [ID:nSGE6370MK]

Macarthur is the top producer of specialty pulverised coals, and the world's biggest exporter of PCI coal, much in demand from major steelmakers.

Following are some key facts about Pulverised Coal Injection (PCI)-type coal:

* PCI coal is crushed (pulverised) into a fine powder and injected into blast furnaces as a replacement for coke in the production of pig iron.

* Typically, 1 tonne of PCI coal can replace 1.5 tonnes of more expensive coking coal.

* PCI coal has been the fastest growing segment of the coal market since the 1990s.

* Miners have struck 2010 contract PCI prices of $170-$180 a tonne, around double the previous year's level amid red-hot demand from China's steel sector.

* Macarthur Coal is the world's biggest supplier of PCI coal for the seaborne market. (Reporting by James Regan, Editing by Ian Geoghegan)

Blogged with the Flock Browser

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

McDonald's sees 2,000 stores in China by 2013 30 Mar 2010 14:40

* Sees more than 2,000 stores in mainland China by end-2013

* Aims for 520 new stores in Asia, MidEast and Africa in 2010

* Sees "good Q1" same-store sales for region

* Says China to beat group sales and income growth forecasts

* To open 40-50 McCafes in China this year, from 3 now

(Adds quotes, background)

By Melanie Lee

SHANGHAI, March 30 (Reuters) - McDonald's Corp <MCD.N> expects China to be the engine of growth in the Asia Pacific over the next five years and predicts a good first quarter for same-store sales in the Asia, Middle East and Africa region.

The firm expects to have more than 2,000 stores in mainland China by the end of 2013 and 1,300 at the end of 2010, Tim Fenton, McDonald's president for Asia, Pacific, Middle East and Africa told Reuters on Tuesday.

"Asia, Middle East and Africa is the fastest growing area in the world and of that, China is the fastest growing country," Fenton said, adding that he plans to open a total 520 new stores in the region this year.

McDonald's reported a better-than-expected 4.8 percent rise in February sales at established restaurants as Asia helped offset softness in the United States and Europe. [ID:nN08166766]

The firm is due to report its March sales on April 21.

"We are a little bit ahead of what we had planned to do, so that's always nice ... but we do see things changing. We see the economy getting better," Fenton said.

"We will have a good first quarter," he said of his region's same-store sales.

Fenton was in Shanghai to open McDonald's first Hamburger University in mainland China.

McDonald's said in January it expects to boost its capital investment in China by about a quarter this year and open 150 to 175 restaurants in the mainland to tap the growth of the world's third-largest economy.

McDonald's will roll out between 40-50 McCafes in China this year, up from the three it currently has to capitalise on the country's increasing taste for coffee.

McDonald's boom in China is due to its growing middle class affluence that has led to high growth in the fast food and casual dining industry, Fenton said.

Quoting third party data, he added that China's fast food and casual dining industry, growing at 10 percent, could reach $310 billion this year. That compared with $460 billion in the United States, expanding at 2 percent, and $470 billion in Europe, with flat growth.

"Just China alone, if you do the math, in 5-10 years, they could surpass the U.S. and or both Europe," Fenton said.

China's contribution to the group's revenue will continue to grow at double digit rates. China will also surpass the group's stated sales growth target of 3-5 percent and income growth target of 5-7 growth.

McDonald's competes with Yum Brands' <YUM.N> KFC in the United States and China, and Ajisen (China) <0538.HK> in the mainland, a noodle restaurant chain operator. [ID:nTOE60P05U]

The company said it had 1,135 stores in mainland China as of the end of 2009.

Some foreign business are feeling jittery about China since Google Inc's <GOOG.O> high profile tussle with Beijing over censorship that led to its shutdown of its China website.

But McDonald's, which has been in China for 20 years and is one of the most successful foreign businesses in China, does not find operational conditions on the mainland any tougher.

"China has been, in my experience, one of the easier countries to do business in," Fenton said.

"But like any country, you do business within the laws of the land and we abide by the laws in the land. It's certainly easier doing business today than 20 years ago." (Editing by Jacqueline Wong)


Blogged with the Flock Browser

Thursday, March 25, 2010

FACTBOX-Planters selling eco-friendly palm oil 25 Mar 2010 09:44

   KUALA LUMPUR, March 22 (Reuters) - So far, 11 planters have 
obtained eco-friendly palm oil certification from the Roundtable
on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) -- an industry body of consumers,
green groups and plantation companies .
That represents just 12.3 percent of 89 oil palm growers who
belong to the RSPO, which started out in 2003.
Among the 11 planters, only some of their mills and estates
have been certified although almost all of them have put out a
time frame to get all their holdings accredited based on
commitments to stop clearing rainforests and harming wildlife.
The total plantation area certified across Indonesia,
Malaysia and Papua New Guinea stands at 310,212 hectares, just
0.2 percent of worldwide acreage of up to 13 million hectares
Exceptions include United Plantations <UTPS.KL> in Malaysia
and SIPEF/Hargy joint venture to develop plantations in Papua New
Guinea, who have certified all their mills.
Following is a list of firms that won green palm oil
certification for their mills they own, the countries where the
mills are located and the amount of crude palm oil that has been
certified:
Firm Country Mills Mills crude palm
Certified Total oil(tonnes)
United Plant <UTPS.KL> Malaysia 6 6 200,456
New Britain <NBPO.L> PNG 4 6 263,995
Sime Darby <SIME.KL> Malaysia 5 42 209,444
Kulim Bhd <KULM.KL> Malaysia 3 4 88,914
Wilmar/PPB <WLIL.SI> Malaysia 3 9 122,900
PT Musim Mas Indonesia 2 12 133,690
IOI Corp <IOIB.KL> Malaysia 3 12 155,447
SIPEF/ Hargy Oil Palms PNG 2 2 78,158
Cargill/PT Hindoli Indonesia 2 4 51,344
KL Kepong <KLKK.KL> Malaysia 2 20 92,000
Lon Sumatra <LSIP.JK> Indonesia 4 10 169,480

Palm kernel oil certified
from the various firms 344,418
TOTAL 36 127 1,910,246
Notes:
- Total mills for IOI Corp and KL Kepong include Malaysian and
Indonesian holdings.
(Source: Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil, company and news
reports)
(Compiled by Niluksi Koswanage; Editing by Himani Sarkar)
((niki.koswanage@thomsonreuters.com; +603 2333 8035;
Reuters Messaging: niki.koswanage.reuters.com@reuters.net))
((If you have a query or comment on this story, send an email to
news.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com))
Keywords: PALMOIL ENVIRONMENT/FACTBOX

Keywords: PALMOIL ENVIRONMENT/FACTBOX
Blogged with the Flock Browser

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

FACTBOX-Key performance indicators of world's top palm planters 08 Mar 2010 15:42

     KUALA LUMPUR, March 8 (Reuters) - Following are the 15 
largest listed palm oil planters, ranked by market value, and
their key performance indicators.
They are mostly located in Malaysia and Indonesia, the top
two producers of the vegetable oil.
For a related story, click on [ID:nSGE62102E]

Company Mkt Cap ROA ROE PE
($ mln) (%) (%)
(times)
1. Wilmar <WLIL.SI> 29,647 8.1 15.0 16.9
2. Sime Darby <SIME.KL> 15,206 7.3 11.8 16.9
3. IOI Corp <IOIB.KL> 10,768 10.9 19.0 18.0
4. KL Kepong <KLKK.KL> 5,345 10.9 16.2 18.1
5. Golden Agri <GAGR.SI> 4,641 6.0 7.9 11.0
6. Astra Agro <AALI.JK> 4,060 26.6 32.0 15.8
7. Indofood <IFAR.SI> 2,090 5.4 12.0 14.2
8. Genting Plant <GENP.KL> 1,416 10.0 11.5 15.6
9. London Sumatra <LSIP.JK> 1,288 13.6 18.5 13.2
10. Boustead <BOUS.KL> 953 3.0 9.1 10.1
11. United <UTPS.KL> 842 17.4 18.2 8.6
12. Bakrie Sumatera <UNSP.JK> 728 5.3 10.8 7.1
13. Kulim <KULM.KL> 685 3.3 6.5 10.6
14. IJM Plant <IJMP.KL> 591 8.3 8.4 16.3
15. Sampoerna Agro <SGRO.JK> 535 12.2 16.9 13.9

Source: Thomson Reuters Starmine
* Market cap as of March 5, 2010
* ROA/ROE/PE are estimates for FY2010, except for Indofood,
London Sumatera, Bakrie Sumatera and Sampoerna Agro, which are
on FY2009 forecasts.
(Reporting by Julie Goh; Editing by Clarence Fernandez)
((julie.goh@thomsonreuters.com; +603 2333 8036; Reuters
Messaging: julie.goh.reuters.com@reuters.net))
((If you have a query or comment on this story, send an email
to news.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com))
Keywords: ASIA PALMOILSTOCKS/
Blogged with the Flock Browser

Thursday, February 25, 2010

FACTBOX-Ways of looking at the oil price 25 Feb 2010 13:41

Feb 25 (Reuters) - Investment bankers, oil executives, 
analysts and officials kick off from Thursday discussions on
factors affecting oil prices, at a two-day workshop in Tokyo
organised by the International Energy Agency (IEA) and several
Japanese agencies.
The global economic recovery and the winding down of
government stimulus programmes are among the biggest tests for
the oil market, which experts will weigh at the meeting.
The debate over how speculation and fundamentals affect oil
prices continues to rumble, although it is less intense now that
crude <CLc1> has largely traded in a $70-$80 range since October,
versus the record high near $150 a barrel in July 2008.
[ID:nSGE61N012]
One reason for oil keeping its strength -- after falling
towards $30 in December 2008 -- has been a decision by the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to keep its cut
of 4.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in production since
September 2008.
However, OPEC's compliance with the target has fallen from
historic highs of around 80 percent to around 60 percent now as
the oil price has steadied. OPEC next meets in Vienna on March 17
to reconsider policy.

MARGINAL COST
The marginal cost is how much producers have to pay to
extract more difficult oil, such as from the oil sands in Canada.
In line with the Saudi assessment of the marginal cost,
Iran's OPEC governor Mohammad Ali Khatibi said some high-cost oil
projects cost $70-$80 a barrel and if the price of oil continued
to fall, investors would withdraw from them.
Many projects have already been postponed.
London-based analysts Bernstein also put the marginal cost at
around $75-$80 a barrel for oil.
Increasingly, the cost of producing biofuels and nuclear
energy has also been taken into consideration.
A study by the Nuclear Energy Agency and the International
Energy Agency published in 2005 found nuclear energy was
competitive when oil cost $40-$45 a barrel.
Since then oil prices and electricity costs have risen
strongly and analysts estimated nuclear power was competitive
when oil was at $70 a barrel.

OPERATING COST
The cost of operating fields once they are already onstream
has been estimated to be around $50 a barrel.

BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS
Oil-producing nations have historically assumed very
conservative prices for a barrel of oil when setting budgets,
allowing for some slack in their spending should prices fall.
The price of oil averaged nearly $100 in 2008 and averaged
around $62 in 2009.
Data from Washington-based PFC Energy last year showed Saudi
Arabia needing oil prices to average $51 a barrel to break even,
compared with $43 a barrel in 2008.

OIL COMPANY ASSUMPTIONS
Like oil-producing countries, international oil companies
also make price assumptions that underpin their production
sharing contracts with governments around the world and are used
when assessing projects.
Total <TOTF.PA> has said it based its projects on oil at $80
a barrel. BP'S <BP.L> oil price assumption is between $60 and $90
a barrel.

FAIR VALUE
Fair value is a notional price taking into account only
supply and demand, cutting out any speculative element.
It ignores factors such as the danger of conflict in
oil-producing nations, currency effects and fund flows in and out
of oil.
Estimates of what is the fair value of oil abound, but some
players have said a fair price would be closer to $75 a barrel.
OPEC ministers in the past repeatedly said prices were
inflated by speculation and that the price slide from a record
hit in July 2008 in part reflected the departure of speculators.

INFLATION-ADJUSTED
In inflation-adjusted terms, the July 2008's record price was
well above the previous record high of $105.95 set in April 1980,
after the Iranian Revolution in 1979.
That level was first breached in March 2008, according to the
International Energy Agency (IEA). It bases its calculation on
monthly prompt U.S. crude and U.S. consumer price data as U.S.
futures trade did not exist in 1980.

BENCHMARK
The price of U.S. light sweet crude is a benchmark used for
pricing other crudes. North Sea Brent futures <LCOc1> are the
other main international marker.
The most expensive crudes in the world, notably Nigeria's
Pennington or Malaysian Tapis, command a premium to the
benchmarks as they have low sulphur content, making them easy to
refine to produce high yields of gasoline and other light fuels.
At the other end of the scale, heavy Iranian crudes Soroush
and Norouz are sold at steep discounts to Brent crude.
To see a TABLE on the oil price OPEC members need please
click on [ID:nLDE5BG18P]
(Compiled by Barbara Lewis, Simon Webb and Tokyo Energy Desk;
Editing by Ramthan Hussain)
((barbara.lewis@reuters.com +44 20 7542 2637; Reuters Messaging:
barbara.lewis.reuters.com@reuters.net))

Blogged with the Flock Browser

Thursday, February 18, 2010

FACTBOX-The top 10 country holders of gold reserves 18 Feb 2010 14:54

 SINGAPORE, Feb 18 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund 
on Wednesday said it would shortly begin selling 191.3 tonnes of
gold in the open market under a program approved last year to
boost its resources for lending. [ID:nSGE61H00R]
The open-market sales are a part of a programme launched last
year and, until now, gold has been made available to central
banks on a first-come-first-serve basis.
So far, India -- the world's biggest consumer of gold --
Mauritius and Sri Lanka have purchased a total of 212 tonnes of
gold from the IMF.
The IMF announced last year it would sell 403.3 tonnes of
gold, about one-eighth of its total stock, to diversify its
sources of income and increase low-cost lending to poor.
For a graphic of gold as a percentage of total reserves for
the top holders by country, see:
http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/0210/GLD_TPHLD0210.gif
The 10 countries with the highest levels of gold holdings by
December 2009 (in tonnes):

Dec 2009 March 2009 % of reserves
All countries 26,780.0 26,349.4 10.2
United States 8,133.5 8,133.5 68.7
Germany 3,407.6 3,412.6 64.6
Italy 2,451.8 2,451.8 63.4
France 2,435.4 2,487.1 64.2
China 1,054.0 1,054.0 1.5
Switzerland 1,040.1 1,040.1 28.8
Japan 765.2 765.2 2.4
Netherlands 612.5 612.5 51.7
Russia 607.7 523.7 4.7
India 557.7 357.7 6.4

The percentage of reserves is as calculated by the World Gold
Council. The value of gold holdings is calculated using the
end-October gold price of $1,040 per troy ounce.
Blogged with the Flock Browser

Thursday, February 11, 2010

FACTBOX-Hedging instruments used by AsiaPac airlines 10 Feb 2010 18:00

Feb 10 (Reuters) - Asia's largest airlines that fly 
international routes, such as Singapore Airlines <SIAL.SI>,
Cathay Pacific <0293.HK> and Qantas <QAN.AX>, hedge their fuel
requirements, but most still do not.
Those who do have rigid safeguards, such as limiting the
volumes hedged each time and maintaining a tight deadline for
risk managers to do so, mainly to protect against unauthorised
speculation.
SIA, for example, has a policy of requiring risk managers to
put in place a hedge position within five days, sources said.
Airlines use a variety of instruments to hedge their
exposures, such as Over-The-Counter Swaps, Futures and Options,
on jet fuel, gas oil (diesel) or crude oil swaps and futures.
For related analysis click on: [ID:nSGE60I04Q]
For related factbox on JAL's hedging losses, click on:
[ID:nSGE60U01U]

* OPTIONS
- One of the most commonly used instruments is the Option,
which gives users the right, but not the obligation, to buy fuel
at a pre-determined future price. It provids protection against
prices rising to unmanageable levels, at a relatively low cost.
Most airlines, who are natural buyers of options, do so at a
pre-determined price, known as a Call option, at a cost called a
premium, which is a fraction of the actual contract price.
The reverse, that is to sell a contract at a pre-determined
price, is called a Put Option.
If prices hit or cross the pre-determined level, airlines
will activate the option to buy fuel at that price, regardless of
how much higher prices rise. The counterparty, normally a bank,
will pay the difference between the strike price and the market
price at the time.
- SIA said it has hedged 22 percent of its fuel consumption,
or about 3.5 million barrels of jet fuel, at an average of $100 a
barrel versus current prompt jet swap price of $75.00-$85.00.
- Some airlines prefer the more sophisticated "Zero-Cost"
option, in which they need not pay the Option premium as long as
the contract stays within a pre-determined price range.
In this case, the airline buys a Call Option at a certain
premium and sell a Put option at the same premium value.
As long as prices stay within range of their Put and Call,
they do not incur any cost on the Option, making it an attractive
hedging tool.
If prices rise above the Call, the buyer is "in-the-money"
and makes the price difference and the price of the premium from
the counterparty.
If prices for below the put, the reverse is true, that is,
the buyer will have to pay the premium and make up the difference
in price to the bank.
- However, most banks impose a "Knock-in, Knock-out" clause,
where they pre-determine a certain loss ceiling and after which
they can exit the contract.
But the same does not apply to the airlines and they would
have to either ride a money-losing contract till expiry or sell
it at a loss.
"The Zero-Cost option looks attractive but, in reality, it
provides only limited insurance and has unlimited risk," said
Clarence Chu, a trader with Hudson Capital.
- When the market was volatile in second-half 2008, most
airlines lost money on physical jet fuel cargoes versus the
relatively thin volumes that they hedged when crude benchmarks
were on the way up to above $140.
When prices dived to below $40, they were unprotected on
downside of their Zero-Cost Options.
Worse, some kept doubling their exposures down by buying more
Zero-Cost options at lower price ranges, hoping to mitigate
earlier losses, as prices spiral downwards.
But they end up incurring more losses as crude continue its
freefall all the way to below $40..
"There is no such thing as free money and the banks are not
there to make money for you," an industry source said.

* SWAPS/FUTURES
- The other option for airlines is to hedge by buying
Outright forward crude, or jet fuel swaps or futures.
This locks in their fuel exposures at a fixed price, in which
they usually take the contract to expiry and settling the
difference between the contract price and the month-average cash
levels as at the expiry date.
- However, the settlement typically involves larger sums of
upfront cash and liquidity in the jet fuel market can sometimes
be quite thin.
"The main drawback on hedging directly on swaps is that it
requires more upfront capital because you are dealing with the
entire outright price of the contract, unlike options where you
are dealing with a premium cost," another trader said.
"For an airline with large volumes, the amount of capital
required would be huge and quite undesirable."
- Some airlines, particularly more sophisticated Western
carriers, conduct their own hedging with the open market on both
swaps and options.
None in Asia currently do so on the perception that they
could be speculating. Other hindrances are cost and logistics
constraints such as building credit ties with counterparties
other than banks, such as physical traders, and incurring
exchange fees and maintaining trading margins.
(Reporting by Yaw Yan Chong; Editing by Ramthan Hussain)
((yanchong.yaw@thomsonreuters.com; +65 6870 3851; Reuters
Messaging: yanchong.yaw.reuters.com@reuters.net))
((If you have a query or comment on this story, send an email to
news.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com))
Keywords: AIRLINES HEDGING/ASIA TOO
Blogged with the Flock Browser