Showing posts with label WarrenAndCharles. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WarrenAndCharles. Show all posts

Monday, May 4, 2009

Surprise: Berkshire Hathaway Earnings Highlights

OMAHA, Neb. — Berkshire Hathaway posted first-quarter operating earnings of $1.7 billion, down from $1.9 billion a year ago. Its book value per share fell 6% in the quarter, in part due to losses in its investing portfolio and losses on credit default swaps.

Earnings fell in Berkshire’s utilities operations in the quarter, while underwriting profit in its insurance businesses gained “a bit” from last year, said Berkshire Chairman Warren Buffett at the company’s annual meeting in Omaha Saturday. (See full article.)

“In all our other businesses, those busineses are basically down” because of the weak economy, said Mr. Buffett.

The company had $22.7 billion in cash at the end of the quarter.

Berkshire made a large investment a day after the end of the quarter, bringing its cash stockpile to just below $20 billion, Mr. Buffett said.

Scenario: Nationalization of the Insurance Industry

Omaha, Neb. — In response to a question about what is the worst possible development for Berkshire Hathaway’s vast insurance operations, Warren Buffett had a unique answer: nationalization.

If inflation spiked, and insurance policies became extremely expensive, pressure could rise on the government to nationalize the insurance industry, he said during the company’s annual meeting in Omaha, Neb.

“When people get outraged, politicians respond,” Mr. Buffett said. “Wild inflation would be the most likely cause of something like [nationalization] happening.”

Of course, it’s highly unlikely that such an extreme development would happen, he added. But he did note the example of Social Security, which is a form of a nationalized annuity.

Copyright 2008 Dow Jones & Compa

Munger Unusually Optimistic

Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger is known for his dour views during the company’s annual shareholder meetings. But this year, he was unusually optimistic.

“As I move close to the edge of death, I find myself getting more cheerful about the economic future,” Munger, aged 85, said. (See related story: Here’s the Story on Berkshire’s Munger.)

Munger sees “a final breakthrough that solves the main technical problem of man,” he continued.

By harnessing the power of the sun, electrical power will become more available around the world. That will help humans turn sea water into fresh water and eliminate environmental problems, Munger explained.

“The main technical problem is about to be fixed,” he said. “If you have enough energy you can solve a lot of other problems.”

Berkshire Meeting Ends With Somber Note, Marriage Proposal

Omaha, Neb. — The main event of Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting—the question and answer session—ended at about 3 p.m. Central Time (4 p.m. Eastern). Its finale was something of an oddity for a shareholder meeting: a marriage proposal on the floor of the Qwest Center.

Of course, the Berkshire annual meeting is anything but ordinary. About 35,000 people showed up for the event, as Berkshire expected, according to CNBC The company had said attendance could be lower than expectations due to worries about swine flu.

Aside from the marriage proposal, it was a relatively somber affair, as befits the shape of the economy, and the shape of Berkshire’s shares, which are down more than 30% since September. The applause was less enthusiastic than in previous years, meeting veterans say. Shareholders asked Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger questions on topics ranging from their views on the behavior of banks (bad) to their views on how to compensate board directors (don’t) to their expectations for Berkshire’s vast operations (good, mostly). See full article.

Mr. Buffett, 78, and Munger, 85, responded at length to all of these questions, often branching off into philosophical ruminations. “There’s always something going wrong with the world,” said Mr. Buffett at one point.

“It was classic Buffett and Munger,” said Paul Howard, an analyst at Langen McAlenny. “Great quotes, opinions and perspectives on Berkshire’s businesses and how they plan on managing for the future.”

Mr. Buffett said he sees fleeting signs of life in the economy. In the last few months, he said, there has been a “real pickup in activity” in housing, though at very low prices.

Investors now await the release of Berkshire’s first quarter earnings next Friday. Mr. Buffett gave a preview of those results Saturday, noting that Berkshire lost 6% in book value per share in the first quarter due to weakness in the economy and losses in the company’s stock portfolio. The loss, while steep, wasn’t as bad as the nearly 10% drop expected by Mr. Howard.

The event has been relatively light on news. Sunday, Berkshire holds a press conference, which will be the final public event of the weekend.

Business Musings From Woodstock for Capitalists

Buffett and Munger Play the Main Stage: Views on Newspapers, Triple-A Ratings, Complex Math and More


Here are some highlights of Warren Buffett's and Charles Munger's remarks at the Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shareholder meeting this past weekend.

Mr. Buffett on Newspapers

Mr. Buffett has long held himself out as a newspaper man. As a child, one of his first jobs was delivering newspapers. An Omaha newspaper Berkshire owned, Sun Newspapers, won a Pulitzer Prize in 1973 based in part on a tip Mr. Buffett provided. One of Berkshire's biggest investments in the 1970s was the Buffalo News, which it still owns.

But his view on the future of the newspaper industry is dismal. "For most newspapers in the United States, we would not buy them at any price," he said. "They have the possibility of going to just unending losses."

[Warren Buffett] Reuters

Warren Buffett, left photo, noshes on an ice-cream bar at Berkshire's annual meeting in Omaha, Neb., on Saturday.

As long as newspapers were essential to readers, they were essential to advertisers, he said. But news is now available in many other venues, he said.

Berkshire has a substantial investment in Washington Post Co. He said the company has a solid cable business, a good reason to hold on to it, but its newspaper business is in trouble.

Mr. Munger called newspapers' woes "a national tragedy....These monopoly daily newspapers have been an important sinew to our civilization, they kept government more honest than they would otherwise be."

A Washington Post Co. representative couldn't be reached for comment.

Mr. Buffett on Insurance

In response to a question about the worst possible development for Berkshire Hathaway's vast insurance operations, Mr. Buffett responded: nationalization.

If inflation jumped and insurance policies became extremely expensive, pressure could rise on the government to nationalize the insurance industry, he said. "When people get outraged, politicians respond," Mr. Buffett said. It's highly unlikely that such a development would happen, he added. But he did note the example of Social Security, which is a form of a nationalized annuity.

Mr. Buffett on Housing

"In the last few months you've seen a real pickup in activity although at much lower prices," Mr. Buffett said, citing data from Berkshire's real-estate brokerage business, HomeServices of America Inc., which is one of the largest in the U.S.

[Berkshire Hathaway] Reuters

Attendees wait in a food queue on Friday at the meeting's kickoff celebration.

In California, medium and lower-price homes -- under $750,000 -- have been selling more, though there hasn't been a bounce back in sale prices, Mr. Buffett said. "We see something close to stability at these much-reduced prices in the medium to lower part of the market."

Mr. Buffett on Moody's

Mr. Buffett was asked about Moody's Investors Service, which gave a triple-A rating to billions of dollars of mortgage securities that subsequently lost value. Berkshire has a 20.4% stake in the company.

"Basically, four or five years ago, virtually everybody in the country had this model in their heads, formal or otherwise, that house prices could not fall significantly," Mr. Buffett said. He later added that "it was stupidity and the fact that everyone else was doing it."

He said that if Moody's had started to take a negative view on residential real estate, the ratings provider would have been hauled before Congress to testify about why it was hurting the U.S. economy with its bearish ratings. "They made a huge mistake, and the American people made a huge mistake," he said.

[Fruit of the Loom mascots] Bloomberg News

One Fruit of the Loom mascot adjusts the hat of another at the Berkshire meeting on Saturday. The apparel maker is one of Berkshire's holdings.

A Moody's representative couldn't be reached for comment.

Mr. Buffett on Treasurys

Berkshire Hathaway had only one slide at this year's annual meeting. It displayed a Dec. 19 trade ticket showing a Berkshire sale of $5 million of Treasury bills. They were coming due on April 29 this year, roughly four months after Berkshire sold them. Berkshire sold the bills for $5,000,090.70. If that buyer had instead put their money in a mattress, by April 29 they would have been $90.70 better off, he said. Negative yields on Treasury bills show how tumultuous last year was, Mr. Buffett added. "We may never see that again in our lifetimes," he noted.

Messrs. Buffett and Munger On Math and Theories

Messrs. Buffett and Munger made clear their complete disdain for the use of higher-order mathematics in finance.

"There is so much that's false and nutty in modern investing practice and modern investment banking, that if you just reduced the nonsense, that's a goal you should reasonably hope for," Mr. Buffett said. Regarding complex calculations used to value purchases, he said: "If you need to use a computer or a calculator to make the calculation, you shouldn't buy it."

Said Mr. Munger: "Some of the worst business decisions I've ever seen are those with future projections and discounts back. It seems like the higher mathematics with more false precision should help you, but it doesn't. They teach that in business schools because, well, they've got to do something."

Mr. Buffett said: "If you stand up in front of a business class and say a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush, you won't get tenure....Higher mathematics my be dangerous and lead you down pathways that are better left untrod."

Mr. Munger on the Future

"As I move close to the edge of death, I find myself getting more cheerful about the economic future," Mr. Munger said.

Mr. Munger sees "a final breakthrough that solves the main technical problem of man," he continued.

By harnessing the power of the sun, electrical power will become more available around the world. That will help humans turn sea water into fresh water and eliminate environmental problems, Mr. Munger explained. "If you have enough energy you can solve a lot of other problems."

Write to Scott Patterson at scott.patterson@wsj.com and Alistair Barr at alistair.barr@marketwatch.com

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Here's the Story on Berkshire's Munger

MAY 1, 2009

Warren Buffett is synonymous with Berkshire Hathaway Inc., getting credit for billions of dollars in big deals that have made him an icon to investors around the world. But on the one day a year when he faces his shareholders, at his side will be his longtime partner, Vice Chairman Charles Munger.

On Saturday, the partners will take their decades-old act back to the stage in Omaha, Neb., telling thousands of loyal shareholders that they see huge opportunities amid the financial crisis that drove Berkshire to its worst performance since Mr. Buffett took it over 44 years ago.

[Charles Munger] Charlie Powell

BOOK VALUE: Berkshire Hathaway's Charles Munger reads businesses well -- and, as a bibliophile, he goes through several books a week.

The two men, Mr. Munger, 85 years old, and Mr. Buffett, 78, speak frequently and confer about most deals, but there are differences. Mr. Munger is laconic; Mr. Buffett loquacious. Mr. Munger leans Republican; Mr. Buffett tilts Democratic. Mr. Munger will pay hefty price tags for businesses; Mr. Buffett likes safe, dirt-cheap stocks.

Mr. Munger's views have pushed Berkshire into some surprising directions. Several years ago, Mr. Munger learned of an obscure Chinese maker of batteries and automobiles called BYD Inc., which hopes to create a cheap, functional electric car.

A Chinese tech company is nothing like the shoe and underwear makers Berkshire had been buying. But Mr. Munger was enthusiastic, less about the technology than about Wang Chuanfu, who runs BYD. Mr. Wang, Mr. Munger says, is "likely to be one of the most important business people who ever lived."

Mr. Buffett was skeptical at first. But Mr. Munger persisted. David Sokol, chairman of Berkshire utility MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co., paid a visit to BYD's factory in China and agreed with Mr. Munger's assessment. Last year, MidAmerican paid $230 million for a 10% stake in BYD.

"BYD was Charlie's idea," Mr. Buffett said. "When he encounters genius and sees it operating in a practical way, he gets blown away."

Mr. Munger also was an advocate of Berkshire's $4 billion investment in Iscar Metalworking Cos., an Israeli maker of metal-cutting tools, in 2006. The investment was relatively pricey, especially given Mr. Buffett's preference for cheap companies. But Mr. Munger convinced his longtime partner that Iscar was worth the cost.

The deal helped pave the way for other large investments by Berkshire in companies outside the U.S. Results on the two investments haven't been reported.

The men share a view that the U.S. financial system will change, and criticize past excesses. "People were horribly overpaid for just pouring on leverage," Mr. Munger said. The two investors have repeatedly warned about the systemic risks posed by the abuse of leverage and derivatives.

Mr. Munger thinks regulators may significantly curb the amount of leverage, or borrowed money, that banks can use. That will drive down pay at Wall Street firms, since traders won't be able to make as many big, leveraged bets. This could benefit Berkshire, with its cash hoard of $24.3 billion at the end of 2008. "There's going to be new rules in the game," he said. "For someone like us, that's going to be very interesting."

Saturday's meeting comes after the worst year in Berkshire's history, when it lost 9.6% in book value per share, a common metric it uses to track its performance. It marked the biggest decline since Mr. Buffett took over the company in 1965, when it was an East Coast textile maker, and turned it into an investing powerhouse. Berkshire's shares have fallen 36% since September.

The two investors say they expect Berkshire to return to form in the near future, and they continue to collaborate. They speak on the phone at least once or twice a week from their respective offices -- Mr. Buffett in Omaha, Mr. Munger in Pasadena, Calif.

"Charlie understands the essence of a lot of businesses probably better than people in those industries do," Mr. Buffett said. "He gets right to the point of it quicker than anyone I've seen.

Mr. Munger grew up in Omaha and joined the U.S. Army during World War II, serving as a meteorologist in Alaska. After the war, he earned a degree from Harvard Law School and became an attorney at a California firm.

He also became a serious investor. He met Mr. Buffett in an Omaha restaurant in 1959. After working together on a number of investments for many years, the two joined forces full time at Berkshire in 1978, when Mr. Munger became vice chairman.

One of their early deals is one of Berkshire's best-known brands. In 1972, Mr. Munger helped persuade Mr. Buffett to participate in a joint purchase of See's Candies, a California boxed-chocolate maker, for $25 million. While the price seemed steep by some measures, the deal was wildly successful, producing more than $1 billion in pretax earnings.

Without such investments, it isn't likely that Berkshire could have grown as large as it has, says Whitney Tilson, manager of T2 Partners LLC, a New York money manager that owns Berkshire stock. He says: "Munger helped Buffett appreciate some of the higher-quality investments that lead to multibillion-dollar outcomes several decades later."

Financially, Mr. Buffett has done better. He boasts a net worth of $37 billion in 2008, according to Forbes magazine's list of the world's wealthiest people, putting him at No. 2 in the world behind Microsoft Corp. founder Bill Gates. Mr. Munger placed 522 on the list, with a net worth of $1.4 billion.

Mr. Munger has won the respect of Mr. Gates, who sits on the company's board. When the Justice Department accused Microsoft of abusing monopoly power with its Windows operating system in the late 1990s, Mr. Gates says he sought out Mr. Munger for legal advice. He also consulted Mr. Munger when considering how to set up his charity, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

"Warren wouldn't have done nearly as well without his help," Mr. Gates said in an interview.

Write to Scott Patterson at scott.patterson@wsj.com